Best ADP Values at Each Position

So far this week we have discussed my favorite deep sleepers, and some undervalued veterans flying way under the radar and even bad ADP values. These next four players are all being drafted, but they are not being drafted in accordance with their potential. In our game, we call that value. These four players are my favorite value at each position, and players I’d consider myself blessed to land at their ADPs.

Saquon Barkley, RB, Eagles (ADP: 10, RB6)

Barkley is very high up in drafts right now, and despite that, I think he should be even higher. The top three picks are, in some order, Bijan Robinson, Jahmyr Gibbs and Ja’Marr Chase. It’s highly unlikely outside of Philadelphia – maybe – that you’d see Barkley re-enter that stratosphere, and yet, I would think hard about him at No. 3 overall. Last year the Eagles’ offensive line took a step back, and the offense overall became dysfunctional. After a 2,005-yard season in 2024, Barkley also took a step back and finished with 1,140 rushing yards, 1,413 yards from scrimmage and nine total touchdowns. If that sounds like a pretty great season, especially if that’s “down,” from expectations, you’d be correct. Barkley didn’t match the absurd heights of 2024, but he was still a consistently strong RB1, and his film looks like nothing has changed.

Barkley continued to be elusive, powerful, and maintained his blazing speed in the open field. And right now, the offensive line is healthy and projected as PFF’s No. 2 line in 2026. Philadelphia has also overhauled it’s offensive coaching staff, and those new minds are likely to lean on Barkley as the passing game works out its kinks. This situation is shaping up to be a great one for Barkley, who has zero threats to his workload, and whose QB, Jalen Hurts, has become more judicious as a rusher of late. A return to double-digit touchdowns is likely, and those massive chunk plays we saw will be more plentiful as well with the line intact. Many have moved on from Barkley as that guy, and my question is…why?

Garrett Wilson, WR, Jets (ADP: 42, WR19)

Wilson is not looked at as one of the truly elite WRs in fantasy, but that has everything to do with wearing a Jets uniform. Few WRs have ever started a career with more garbage at QB than Wilson, and despite that he began his career with three straight seasons of 1,000+ yards, 83+ receptions and 147 or more targets. 2025 was his first true down year, and it was because injuries limited him to only seven games. Amazingly enough, even with only 395 yards through seven games Wilson was still the Jets’ leading receiver. Yes, he’s had it that bad.

Well…he might still. Geno Smith is an upgrade as a passer from Justin Fields on the surface, but Smith has a bad history in New York and he’s elderly by NFL standards. If Smith plays like he did in 2025, then it’ll be as bad for Wilson as it has been every year since he was drafted. And that means 80+ catches and 1,000+ yards! You’re drafting Wilson right now at his non-injury floor, when his talent is Top 5. And before you scoff…take a look at his profile.

Wilson was a 93rd percentile WR vs. man coverage, with a 77.4% success rate. He was 88th percentile vs. press, and he was at 81% vs. zone (72nd percentile). His route tree aside from nines and outs was chock full of gaudy success rates, with slants and digs teetering around 90%! This guy is as elite as any WR out there, and the one season when he had reasonably solid QB play – 2024 with Aaron Rodgers – was when he posted 101 receptions, 1,104 yards and seven touchdowns and that was with the Jets trading midseason for Rodgers’ best buddy Davante Adams that ate into Wilson’s target share. Geno Smith played behind the fifth-worst pass blocking line in the NFL per PFF last year, and unsurprisingly sucked. The Jets project to have a workable offensive line, and if Smith can provide baseline competent play, it’s hard to imagine Wilson not exceeding WR19.

Isaiah Likely, TE, Giants (ADP: 100, TE11)

Likely has always been all potential without the proof of concept bearing out on the field. He was forever trailing behind Mark Andrews in Baltimore, and with Andrews’ play falling off, it looked like it would be Likely’s time to take over. Instead, the Ravens re-upped Andrews and parted ways with Likely who has a chance to establish himself as the main man for once.

Likely’s never put up big numbers before, topping out at 477 yards and six touchdowns in 2024, but he’s shown many flashes of greatness. He has seven career games with five or more receptions, and in those seven games he has posted 70+ yards six times. One third of his 15 career touchdowns have also come in that span. When Likely is featured and targeted, he plays well. He’s simply been trapped behind a Hall of Fame caliber player his whole career on a Ravens team that was largely a low-passing volume outfit. Theo Johnson was second on the Giants last year in targets, and while Malik Nabers is back, Wan’Dale Robinson’s 140 targets are gone. Those were mostly short and intermediate looks and can definitely go to Likely.  There are players like Sam LaPorta and Travis Kelce going ahead of Likely because of their name value, and, yes, the fact they’ve done it before. But Likely’s never had a TE1 role, the few times he temporarily had it he’s produced, and he’s now on a team where he really might be second on the team in targets. You can absolutely hit the same ceiling with Likely as you can with LaPorta, 20 picks later in drafts.

Baker Mayfield, QB, Buccaneers (ADP: 146, QB19)

Mayfield is a player I’m so happy to land late in drafts. High-yardage passing QBs have become a valuable inefficiency, as the rushing QBs have been pushed up and the QBs in the mold of Mayfield are being treated like dirt. Some of the well-known dual threat QBs aren’t rushing as much as they used to, and the up-and-coming dual threats are spending inordinate amounts of time in the blue tent. We saw Matthew Stafford and Dak Prescott return sick value last year on their ADPs, and now that Mayfield is essentially free, he’s right in that group.

When you’re drafting a pass-first QB, you want to realistically get 4,000 yards and 35 touchdowns. Those numbers can be played with, if the yardage is way over 4,000 yards, you may not need 35 scores. Mayfield was injury-plagued in 2025 and fell way short of those marks, burning managers and leading to this depressed ADP. Sometimes after big seasons these QBs see a rise in ADP, and that’s when you pass. You want the guys like Mayfield, who have done it, didn’t last year, and now are just found money. Mayfield threw for 4,500 yards on the nose in 2024 with 41 touchdowns. We’re ignoring that? Sure the 41 touchdown passes were fluky and came down, but he threw for 4,044 yards in 2023 with 28 touchdown passes. He’s got Chris Godwin back in the slot, and Emeka Egbuka poised to build on a big rookie year, as well as high-end pass-catching RBs in Bucky Irving and Kenny Gainwell. It’s screaming value the same way Prescott was last year. Load up your bench with skill players and grab Mayfield super late.