2025 Team Previews: New York Jets
New York Jets 2025 Team Preview
All ADP data is courtesy of Fantasy Pros.
** = target in drafts at this ADP
Relevant Players
**Garrett Wilson, WR (ADP: 31, WR15): Wilson is paid now, so we won’t have any contract drama to deal with this offseason. There aren’t many things fantasy managers appreciate more than clarity, and the pecking order for the New York Jets is crystal clear. There’s Garrett Wilson, and everyone else. This ADP isn’t low by any means, but based on the talent that Wilson possesses, there’s a world where he blows it away.
The drawbacks are obvious. The Jets offense is routinely below average, there are very few options around Wilson to stop teams from gearing up to stop him, and the QB situation is not ideal. All are valid concerns, and I’m dismissing them all entirely. When it comes to Garrett Wilson, we’re talking about one of the absolute best receivers in football, full stop, and someone who has always delivered the goods. Wilson hasn’t necessarily had his CeeDee Lamb or Ja’Marr Chase explosion yet, but through all the Jets turmoil he’s endured, and all the passes from Zach Wilson, Tim Boyle, Joe Flacco etc., he’s gone for 1,000+ yards in all three of his seasons, gone for 1,100+ yards twice, and played in all 17 games every year. Wilson has seen his reception total rise every season, and he set a career-high in 2024 with seven touchdowns.
Wilson can line up anywhere in the formation and not just be good, but dominate. He put up a 77.6% success rate vs. man (94th percentile), cooked zone at an 82.4% clip (82nd percentile) and crushed press coverage (78.6%, 86th percentile). You couldn’t double him, as he beat that at a 77.4% rate. And on top of all that, he ran a nine route 21.5% of the time, which was his only route that he didn’t post an above-average success rate on. The Jets have a bona fide monster WR1 and decided last season to have 48% of his routes be slants or nines. The Jets’ offensive approach last season was so ridiculously bad, it’s almost like they were trying to nerf his upside. And he still hit 1,000 yards and notched a career-high touchdown total. With hopefully better coaches and a more functional offense, it’s such a no-brainer to grab Wilson at this ADP. The Top 5 potential for him is glaring, and while Justin Fields isn’t a top-notch passer, he has supported a career peak for D.J. Moore in the past, and is known to lock on and hyper target his No. 1 option. Huge value here.
**Breece Hall, RB (ADP: 29, RB13): Hall was a big letdown last season as he was going No. 1 overall in many drafts, and was rarely outside the Top 3. He ended the season with just 876 yards on the ground, which is not what you were hoping for, in one of the NFL’s absolute dullest, worst offenses. Now his ADP has dropped, and I’m thinking he’s actually quite a value. This would be debated by many I’m sure, but watching Breece Hall regularly reveals that he’s not exactly an “elite” RB. He has blazing, big play speed and he’s a dual threat, but he lacks the ability to really make people miss in traffic or make something out of nothing. When there’s a hole, Hall hits it hard and is off to the races. The splash plays will be there, but that first bit is what keeps him from being on the level of a Saquon Barkley or Bijan Robinson. And now that he’s here, that’s perfectly fine.
Hall will hit the 1,000-yard mark with health and some blocking in 2025, and where he really shines is as a receiver out of the backfield. He caught 76 passes in Year 2, and followed that up with 57 receptions, 483 yards and three touchdowns last season. So sure, his rushing left much to be desired, but he ended the season with 1,359 total yards and eight touchdowns. The way Hall catches passes, he has a very, very high floor and if the Jets’ O-line can gel, you’ll have a Round 1 RB on your hands. Definite value, don’t be afraid of the timeshare rumors.
Justin Fields, QB (ADP: 101, QB10): Fields is being drafted as a QB1, and that’s a little bit of a scary proposition. It’s well known that Fields has established himself as one of the better running QBs we have seen, and in fantasy a rushing floor as high as his is usually is enough to push into the QB1 range regardless of the passing. Then, the passing ceiling can determine just how crazy things can get. If you’re Lamar Jackson or Jalen Hurts, we’re looking at QB1 upside. The issue, however, is that if you’re too shaky as a passer then benching becomes a possibility. We saw Anthony Richardson deal with this last year, and we saw Trey Lance never even get going because his passing never developed to a point that he could be trusted to run a real-life offense.
So is Fields a benching risk? We saw him last season start the year under center for an injured Russell Wilson, and get benched despite a winning record. We saw the Bears move on from him despite an outcry from teammates. In a league where the top passers can eclipse 5,000 yards, Fields has only hit 2,500 yards once in four seasons. Fields has never thrown for 20 touchdowns, or come particularly close. He’s never averaged 200 passing yards per game, and he has just seven career games with 250+ yards. He is not a high-level passer of the football, and the ship has probably sailed on that ever happening. He also has an 1,143-yard rushing season on his resume, and in 2022 averaged 76.2 yards per game on the ground. If the Jets unleash Fields to that degree as a rusher, then he’ll be a tremendous value at this ADP. If we see the version of Fields from last year, which was a very cautious passer who limited mistakes but also had muted passing production and saw his rushing attempts per game drop to 6.2, then his floor is going to be lower than we think. That upside as a rusher can’t be ignored, and with the Jets depth chart he ain’t getting benched. The low floor he has as a passer is built into this ADP, and I think he’s a great option for managers who like to wait, but still want blowup potential.
Interesting Sleeper(s)
Braelon Allen, RB (ADP: 158, RB55): Allen is one of the youngest players in the NFL, and his big frame and bruising style make for a very nice contrast from Hall. There’s much chatter about how the Jets may deploy a three-man backfield, nightmarish stuff for fantasy managers, but Allen’s play last year didn’t really dictate eating into Hall’s workload. He scored three touchdowns in 17 games, and averaged just 3.6 yards per carry. Some of that is his opportunities coming in short yardage sure, but this isn’t a big play back, nor someone who is expected to be featured as a pass catcher. Allen will be a change of pace back for the Jets, and while he’s got major upside as a leading man if Hall gets hurt, I don’t see a major role for him unless that injury bug bites. He’s surely a priority handcuff, however, because the Jets are going to challenge for the league lead in rushing attempts.
Notable Players
Mason Taylor, TE (ADP: 201, TE25): Taylor is a talented player, and there’s a very obvious path to targets in this offense. But the targets are from Justin Fields, and Taylor is a guy who has never even put up 550 receiving yards in college. I’m willing to buy in if Taylor’s getting peppered in the early going of the season, but he can’t be drafted outside of dynasty formats.
Josh Reynolds, WR (ADP: 307, WR115): Reynolds is projected as the WR2 for this offense, and frankly, that’s just unprofessional. Reynolds has splash play potential, but he’s entering the ninth season of his career and he’s got career-highs of 52 receptions, 618 yards and five touchdowns. Even if he’s on the field for entire games all season, I can’t envision him as a fantasy starter, even in a dart throw/spot start capacity. I expect I’ll be revisiting this team preview later in the summer after the Jets have added a real No. 2 behind Wilson.
Allen Lazard, WR (ADP: 325, WR123): Lazard scored six times last season, which is more than Reynolds has ever scored in a season. Like Reynolds, Lazard is capable of big, flashy plays but he commits too many penalties and drops to ever be a critical part of an offense. Aaron Rodgers is gone, so there’s no pressure on the coaches to endure his endless mistakes, and even with his red zone prowess, I can’t find my way to recommending fantasy managers ever put him in a lineup.
Malachi Corley, WR (ADP: N/A): Corley was drafted as a yards after catch monster, but the whole “catching” part of that equation missed him. Corley drew six targets all year, caught three, and his only highlight was letting go of the football before crossing the end zone and turning a walk-in touchdown into a moment that will follow him forever. Maybe he’ll contribute something in 2025, but nothing happened last year that would lead me to predict it.
Arian Smith, WR (ADP: N/A): Smith didn’t get many opportunities until last season, his fifth at Georgia, when he caught 48 passes and put up a wild 817 yards on those catches with four touchdowns. Smith’s a burner, and while his career 19.9 yards per catch mark jumps out at you, it’s a warning sign to me. This player profiles as a deep threat only, and while offenses can use that, fantasy rosters can’t. Nothing shows us that Smith is ready to contribute right away in any capacity beyond streaking down the field, and therefore he is unlikely to draw enough targets to be relevant.
Handcuffs
Isaiah Davis, RB (ADP: 309, RB92): Davis was solid in spurts as a rookie, but I’m no believer that he’s going to really eat into opportunities for Breece Hall or Braelon Allen. He’s good depth, but not draftable. Should an injury arise, he becomes interesting.